Frequently asked questions

• What is Glimpse?

  Glimpse is a regulated prediction market where you can trade Bitcoin-denominated event contracts on global outcomes. Prices reflect real-time market probabilities, giving traders a glimpse of what the market believes will happen in the future.

• What is a prediction market?

  A prediction market is a trading venue where participants buy and sell contracts tied to the outcome of future events. Market prices aggregate traders' beliefs into probabilities, creating a real-time consensus forecast that approaches the truth as events near resolution. Learn more in What is a prediction market?

• What is an event contract?

  An event contract is a contract whose value is tied to the outcome of a future event. On Glimpse, event contracts are denominated in Bitcoin: if you correctly predict the outcome, you receive a fixed payout in Bitcoin. Event contracts offered on Glimpse are digital asset derivatives, not securities or investment products. Learn more in What are event contracts?

• How do Bitcoin prediction markets work?

  Traders buy and sell Bitcoin-denominated contracts tied to the outcomes of future events. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective estimate of the probability that the event happens. As new information arrives, traders update their positions and prices adjust in real time, converging toward the true outcome as the event approaches resolution.

• Can I trade with Bitcoin on Glimpse?

  Yes. Glimpse event contracts are denominated in Bitcoin. You can deposit and withdraw instantly using the Bitcoin Lightning Network, enabling fast trading and transactions without traditional banking delays.

• Is Glimpse regulated?

  Yes. Glimpse Ltd. is licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority under the Digital Asset Business Act 2018. Qualified custody of digital assets is provided by BitGo Trust Company.

• Is it legal to trade on Glimpse?

  Glimpse Ltd. is licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority to conduct digital asset business under the Digital Asset Business Act 2018. Glimpse is not available in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, or other restricted jurisdictions, and you are responsible for ensuring that using Glimpse is lawful where you live.

• Where is Glimpse available?

  Glimpse is not available in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, or other restricted jurisdictions. Event contracts offered on Glimpse are digital asset derivatives, not securities or investment products.

• Which countries are restricted from using Glimpse?

  Glimpse is not available in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, or other restricted jurisdictions. The complete list of restricted jurisdictions is set out in the Terms of Service.

• Who holds custody of my Bitcoin on Glimpse?

  Qualified custody of client digital assets is provided by BitGo Trust Company.

• How do I deposit Bitcoin on Glimpse?

  Deposits are made over the Bitcoin Lightning Network and are credited instantly, so you can fund your account and start trading without waiting for on-chain confirmation times. Learn more in Bitcoin Lightning deposits explained.

• How do I withdraw Bitcoin from Glimpse?

  Withdrawals are processed instantly over the Bitcoin Lightning Network, giving you fast access to your Bitcoin without traditional banking delays.

• How does Lightning Network trading work on Glimpse?

  Glimpse uses the Bitcoin Lightning Network for instant deposits and withdrawals. This allows you to fund your account and access your Bitcoin quickly, supporting fast-paced prediction market trading without waiting for on-chain confirmation times.

• Are event contracts securities or investments?

  No. Event contracts offered on Glimpse are digital asset derivatives contracts, not securities or investment products.

• How do I start trading on Glimpse?

  Launch the app at glimpse.markets/forecast, deposit Bitcoin instantly via the Lightning Network, and trade event contracts on the outcomes you have a view on. For education on how prediction markets work, read the Glimpse wiki and the whitepaper.

• Is trading on Glimpse risky?

  Yes. Trading event contracts involves risk, and you risk losing up to the entire amount of the Bitcoin invested. Read the Risk Disclosure before trading.