Bitcoin Prediction Markets
Glimpse Ltd.
Overview
Prediction markets are trading venues where participants buy and sell contracts tied to the outcome of future events. Contract prices reflect the market's collective belief about the probability of each outcome. As events approach resolution, prices tend to converge toward the truth — making prediction markets powerful tools for forecasting and information aggregation.
Bitcoin-denominated event contracts
Glimpse enables trading of Bitcoin-denominated event contracts on financial and global outcomes. By denominating contracts in Bitcoin and settling via the Lightning Network, Glimpse offers fast deposits, withdrawals, and trading without traditional banking infrastructure.
How markets aggregate information
Prediction markets efficiently aggregate information reported by traders into a real-time consensus forecast. When traders with different beliefs and private information participate, market prices incorporate their knowledge. The result is a continuously updated probability estimate that any observer can use to glimpse what the market believes will happen in the future.
Regulated infrastructure
Glimpse operates as a regulated digital asset business licensed by the Bermuda Monetary Authority under the Digital Asset Business Act 2018. Qualified custody of client digital assets is provided by BitGo Trust Company. Event contracts offered on Glimpse are digital asset derivatives, not securities or investment products.
Download the full whitepaper
The complete technical whitepaper is available as a PDF download. For step-by-step trading education, visit the Glimpse Wiki.