Glimpse Blog
Insights on prediction markets, Bitcoin event contracts, and forecasting.
Did Bitcoin Get Hacked?
No. Bitcoin itself was not hacked. Failures in COLDCARD seed generation and Liquid Network's peg put hundreds of millions of dollars at risk while the network kept producing blocks.
Bitcoin Power Law Price Prediction: Where It Works and Where It Doesn't
Bitcoin's power law is a long-term price model, not a next-week forecast. Independent testing found it performed much better over 12 to 24 months, while recent price behaviour was more useful over one- and three-month horizons.
Bitcoin's Hiding Energy Market - Hashrate
Bitcoin has two connected markets: the visible market trades bitcoin, and the underlying market produces it. Hashrate measures that computing power, but a rising hashrate does not automatically mean every miner is profitable.
Bitcoin was just the beginning: Glimpse adds Ethereum, Solana and Gold
Glimpse has expanded beyond Bitcoin with forecasting markets for Ethereum, Solana and Gold. Forecast price ranges, earn Bitcoin for accuracy, and contribute to a live market-generated signal.
The Complete Guide to Bitcoin Market Sentiment
Bitcoin market sentiment is the overall mood and expectations of investors towards Bitcoin. It reflects whether market participants are optimistic, fearful or uncertain, helping explain why Bitcoin moves and how expectations change before those moves appear in price.
Bitcoin Prediction Markets: The Complete Guide
A Bitcoin prediction market is a marketplace where participants collectively forecast Bitcoin's future price by trading on probabilities rather than relying on individual opinions.
How to Predict Bitcoin's Price (Without a Crystal Ball)
Nobody can predict Bitcoin's future price with certainty. The most effective way to forecast Bitcoin is to combine macroeconomic analysis, market structure, on-chain data and investor sentiment while thinking in probabilities rather than fixed price targets.
More resources
New to the basics? Explore our Learn guides on prediction markets, event contracts, and Bitcoin Lightning deposits, or read the whitepaper.